I'm still going with that NE turn into the Tampa Bay to Big Bend area. Last night I said once it starts turning it keeps turning NW, N, NE in a short time frame. It may have already done the NW and N part in a short period of time. Next would be NE. Always said the trough would be underplayed and I am keeping to my thinking.

Here is Thomas tonight too:
Hurricane Ivan has turned northward. That means that all the stuff the weather forecasting models and local TV Meteorologists and the NHC have been/are saying about a Pensacola to New Orleans landfall is all crap. I still stick to an Apalachicola to Cedar Key landfall, the only Meteorologist doing so the past few days. If this landfall happens we will all know once again that we're in a hurricane.

Thomas F. Giella
Retired Space & Atmospheric Weather Forecaster
Plant City, FL