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From the 11pm discussion THE CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMICAL TRACK PREDICTION MODELS SHOWS A NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION FOLLOWED BY A TURN TO THE NORTH AS THE HURRICANE MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO. AS THE CENTER NEARS THE COAST...A SLIGHT TURN TO THE EAST COULD OCCUR AS THE SYSTEM BEGINS TO RESPOND TO SLIGHT WESTERLY STEERING FLOW. ONCE AGAIN...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK HAS BEEN SHIFTED A LITTLE TO THE WEST...AND IS IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST GFDL AND GFS SOLUTIONS. THE LATEST FSU SUPERENSEMBLE RUN IS ONLY SLIGHTLY TO THE WEST OF THE NHC TRACK. AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST FROM EAST OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO ST. MARKS FLORIDA...INCLUDING GREATER NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA |