Wow those models are starting to cluster. This looks like what happened for Frances when the models all of a sudden came together and were pretty accurate. Also, I do alot of investigative interviews and have developed an ability to read body movements and mannerisms. Looking at Dr. lyons, he shows much more confidence now in where Ivan is going. I think they have a pretty good handle on this now. The question now becomes intensity. He also says that it may speed up and lessen the time allowed to weaken.

If I lived in the Gulport to Pensacola area, I would get the heck out of town...NOW.