danielwAdministrator
(Moderator)
Tue Sep 14 2004 10:20 AM
Re:1000z Update

5AM Probabilities Short version
I am going straight to the text version with this. I realize the models probably dictate the probability output, but plain numbers work better for some folks.
Here's the breakdown for selected cities. You can view the full report under the Probabilities heading.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIASPFAT4+shtml/140838.shtml?
From the Big Bend area west:Total thru 2AM Fri
Cedar Key= 7%
St Marks=12%
Appalachicola=14%
Panama City=16%
Pensacola=21%
Mobile=23%
Gulfport=23%
Buras,LA( Mouth of the MS RVR) =25%
New Orleans=22%
New Iberia=16%
Chances of center of hurricane passing within 65nm of the location thru 2AM EDT FRI SEP 17 2004


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