Not sure about the sheer values, haven't had time to check them. Two local mets discussed that last night. The real question is how far west Ivan can get. He's moved 1W/5N from the 5 to the 7am advisory. He's only near 86.1. So if the western component is out, the threat shifts toward Alabama and West Florida. But the NHC said yesterday that the ridge should work a NW movement after 12 hours which is around this time. Though I think western MS is now the hotspot, I have trouble seeing Ivan getting passed 87.5W. Today will be a nervous one for many! I'm off to the tire store.

Steve