Fletch
(Weather Guru)
Tue Sep 14 2004 03:54 PM
Re: Just to right of prediction

Quote:

I want to note that recon found 998mb in Jeanne, and estimated ground winds around 60MPH.
Maximum Flight Level Winds Were 58KT (66.7mph 107.4km/h) In SE Quadrant At 1714Z
Estimated Max Surface Winds 52.2KT (60.0mph 96.7km/h) *
Misc Remarks: LP EXTRAP FROM 1500FT.
Date/Time of Recon Report: Tuesday, September 14, 2004 15:12:00 (Tue, 14 Sep 2004 19:12:00 GMT)
Position of the center: 16° 41' N 63° 39' W (16.7°N 63.6°W)

Surface Winds Were Estimated At: 60KT (69MPH 111.1km/h)
Estimated Surface Winds Were Measured 17nm (19.55miles) From Center At Bearing 052°
Maximum Flight Level Winds Near Center Were 57KT (65.55mph 105.6km/h) From 110°
Maximum Flight Level Winds Were Measured 015nm (17.3 miles) From Center At Bearing 057°
Minimum pressure: 998mb (29.47in) -- Extrapolated
B. 16 DEG 41 MIN N
63 DEG 39 MIN W
C. NA
D. 60 KT
E. 052 DEG 17 NM
F. 110 DEG 57 KT
G. 057 DEG 015 NM
H. EXTRAP 998 MB
I. 21 C/ 239 M
J. 25 C/ 328 M
K. 24 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 12345/01
O. .1 /1 NM
P. AF977 0111A CYCLONE OB 10
MAX FL WIND 58 KT SE QUAD 1714Z.SLP EXTRAP FROM 1500FT.





Can we get a storm to struggle this year, or is every storm destined for Cat 3 or higher??



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