Steve
(Senior Storm Chaser)
Tue Sep 14 2004 05:44 PM
Re: Where...........

Here's a little kid thing on lon/lat distances:

Lat/Lon Distance

After the 335 heading, Ivan's twisting a little more to the west the last frame. At 4pm, NHC had it at 24.2N, 86.6W. 20:45UTC shows it at 24.20N, 86.71W based on a rough zoom of the Goes-12 Visible. I'm wondering how much longer the western component will remain and how far west Ivan can get overall. Thoughts last night were that he'd have a tough time getting West of 87.5 even though I favored a SW MS landfall. This will be crucial as to who (that's all of you east of me) gets the landfall of the eyewall and who gets the NE quadrant.

Steve


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