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The ETA, and now that the GFS is out, both show Ivan being picked up by the next trough, so hopefully it won't stall in the mountains. 1 run does not a trend make, but I'd rather spread out the heavy rains over a large area, then concentrate them in one area. Let's see if this turns into a model trend. The next issue is, if this happens, what happens to Jeanne? Does it recurve before Florida? We'll see, too soon to tell. |