BillD
(User)
Wed Sep 15 2004 09:17 PM
Re: Jeanne likely to hit Florida now!

I was thinking the same thing

It was interesting, however, that in the 5PM discussion on Jeanne, Beven said:

THE FORECAST TRACK IS TO THE LEFT OF
ALL THE DYNAMICAL GUIDANCE SAVE THE GFDL AND FSU SUPERENSEMBLE.

Earlier in the discussion he said that the GFDL was a left outlier that had come slightly more right this last run. As reliable as the FSU Ensemble seems to have been, this makes me a little more nervous. However it is way to early to really predict what is going to happen. Maybe by Saturday we'll have a better idea.

Bill


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