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I think my reasoning is that the ETA has always had a left of track bias with winter storms, and it was supposed to be corrected. Maybe it did go farther west than most thought, but in my opinion, it was as wrong to the left as the GFS was to the right. The thing that disturbs me about the GFS is, its bias was commonly left of track also, so these last couple of storms have played havoc with my mental notes on biases. There is an easy answer to this: No more storms. Every time I turn on TWC and see Stephanie Abrams being blown through the air (ok, a little dramatic), I think they must all be nuts. "Everyone else leave, let's set up here......" Poor Jeff Morrow on vacation a couple of years ago on the outer banks, a storm comes, so they give him a camera and a mic. |