AgentB
(Weather Guru)
Thu Sep 16 2004 05:31 PM
Re: Jeanne

Quote:

"I'm not saying that Jeanne will stay further south than forecast, mostly because Ivan will have an affect on her movement, and that wasn't present with the other systems."

I totally agree with you except this part. You say that Jeanne will not stay further south becasue of Ivan are you sure about that?




I probably should have worded that a bit better...lol. Depending on where Ivan tracks inland, and how strong he is while travelling, that will affect whether Jeanne makes that turn to the north or continues on a more WNW motion.

And here's my take on the local mets vs NHC forecast. Something that I learned in class at the University of Florida, and somehow managed to remember(haha), is that local news is a huge business for TV stations. Many times that's the only thing that seperates these stations with relation to local markets. I.E. no one really cares that Friends airs on NBC, but they might only watch Channel 2 for their local news/weather. And oftentimes that also carries over into the national news. So if you can capture an audience for a guaranteed amount of time, like 5:30-7pm, that's just money in the bank. I would never imply that a meteorologist would skew a forecast for ratings, but would they cover one scenario that's not as likely as others because it could potentially affect more viewers? Maybe. If a local station can keep a viewer tuned into +24hr coverage when a storm is close because that viewer enjoys the meteorologist's view, then they will be raking in tons of ad dollars. Sorry for the off topic post, just wanted to shed a little light on this topic.



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