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Once again, let me point out that they clearly state the margins of error in their forecasts. What was the stretch of that coast that had been put under a "hurricane warning'? I really don't believe they ever said "look out Tampa Bay because it's coming to you directly". They put up hurricane warnings that covered a way larger area then Tampa Bay. Our local Channel 9 meteorologist called Charlies turn way before the NHC did. Do I think the NHC makes mistakes? Sure..but I would only fault them for not issuing something like an emergency update rather than just waiting for their 2pm update to state the trackand intensity had changed. The bottom line is everyone in a "hurricane warning" area that is put up by the NHC needs to realize that they can get hit!
almost every meteorologist knew it wasn't getting all the way up to tampa bay. That's one reason why NHC had warnings up for the places far south of Tampa Bay, just as they had warnings up well east of New Orleans for Ivan. Who did the media focus on with Ivan?? New Orleans... they did learn somewhat however not to totaly focus on the worst case distaster scenario.
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