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Not slowing down it seems and we are not even into the So.Carribean season yet still getting thes African waves, second peak of season 1st week of October....think I'll just leave the boards up until December or first frost which ever comes first. Good stuff on the models. The NHC two days before the land fall of Charley had it pegged, and then shifted the track west fr 48 hours. When it did The GFDL fixed on the Charlotte Harbor solution, and that seemed to jive with what the upper air as intrepreted from thw WV was telling us the shear zone was too far south to support the land fall north of Tampa. However Punta Gorda and Ft. Myers had long been not only in the cone but also under the line and the forcast track. On the 13th of August only had Charley about 25 miles off shore as it passed by that to me is a direct hit virtually. I don't recall thinking that NHC had missed the mark on Charley |