I agree but I will say this though...his path down the middle of the cone is not the same as the NHC's so in a sense I feel he is somewhat in disagreement with them. Ok, I really don't know anything this but wouldn't you think that the NHC is putting together the thoughts of a bunch of good forecasters and then coming up with a consensus for their best prediction for the path of a storm?This is as opposed to one guy doing most of the interpreting by himself? Like I said I'm clueless as to how the NHC really works. I just thought I would throw that out there.