| MrSpock |
| (Storm Tracker) |
| Thu Sep 16 2004 05:25 PM |
Re: article on new models, and improved forecasting.
|
While I can't put a number on it, it seems to me the models always have trouble initializing things in the tropics. The 2 reasons that I can think of right of the top of my head are: 1. small-scale system on a relative basis 2. sparse data.
In a way, it's not surprising, based on the above, that there are track errors, and it can be surprising how accurate they are at times.