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I just saw the 11pm forecast by Orlando Channel 9's Tom Terry. I think he's the best in the area. He is pretty much in agreement with the NHC's projected path of Jeanne at this point. And he showed all the models coming into agreement , more or less, keeping Ivan's path offshore from Florida. He pointed out that even the GFDL's track, which was the most western track, moved right and is more in agreement with the others now. 140 miles offshore of Melbourne on Monday with 100 mph winds. This guy is like our version of Jason Kelley down here. I trust him. He said lets just hope the models hold out so he acknowledges that nothing is written in stone at this point. The bottom line for me is I'm going to bed tonight believing, at this point, in the scenario that the NHC has laid out so far. Tomorrow is another day and I'll wake up and deal with Jeanne again then amongst other things. I think if anyone has any questions about the direction of Jeanne at this point, then they ought to do the same. Good night everyone...its been a great discussion today...I usually don't get to stay on this long. Sleep tight cuz I will! |