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Debby and Jeanne is a poor comparison. Debby was affected by strong low level easterlies that were driving her WSW. This is NOT the case with Jeanne. That said there is a less than even chance that she will not survive the island and the westerly shear that IS present. I was surprised that the NHC kept her winds as high as they did, as convection is poor at the moment. Again, if she survives and moves WNW she will be trouble. The next 24 hours will tell the tale. Cheers!! |