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And you guys thought Stacy Stewart was the clever one... From the 5:00 discussion on Karl: Dvorak T-numbers are all converging on t3.5 and I will hold the initial intensity estimate at 55 kt. Karl retains well-defined banding features and the upper-level environment shows strong anticyclonic and divergent flow aloft. While Karl Marks time over warm waters it is expected to strengthen...and the official forecast remains a blend of the GFDL and SHIPS guidance. |