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Until Jeanne re-establishes some kind of true identiity, I am unsure any forecast model will grasp her very well. I agree with not making any real changes to the forecast. Maybe tomorrow afternoon the situation will become a little more stable. With the system moving at such a slow speed, there is no urgency to force a forecast towards any particular situation. I doubt there will be a major change by the 5:00am advisory. Maybe the 11:00am will give some insight. I would not be at all surprised to see a return to a similar forecast that we had this afternoon before her encounter with the mountains. |