| Takingforever |
| (Weather Watcher) |
| Sat Sep 18 2004 02:43 PM |
Re: Forecasting fun with Jeanne
|
"a fish spinner folks can ooh and aah over without feeling like they're egging on a killer."
But what about the fish?
On Jeanne, one thing the NHC is going against is the "Debbie" end and calling this storm a fighter(Thanks if Ivan stays on course to the NC).
Quote:
SHOULD JEANNE TURN MORE NORTHWARD IT COULD FIND ITSELF UNDER A MORE FAVORABLE UPPER PATTERN IN A COUPLE OF DAYS...WHILE A MORE WESTWARD TRACK WOULD KEEP JEANNE UNDER UNFAVORABLE SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR. THUS IT WOULD SEEM UNLIKELY THAT A STRONG SYSTEM COULD MAKE ANY SIGNIFICANT WEST-NORTHWESTWARD PROGRESS. IN FACT...A NOT UNREASONABLE ALTERNATIVE TO THE FORECAST BELOW WOULD BE FOR THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER TO CONTINUE TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND DISSIPATE...AS DEBBY DID IN THIS AREA FOUR YEARS AGO.