First off, I am not a weather person and I don't play one on TV, though I did consider staying at a Holiday Inn Express during Frances.

I recently found out about this board from some discussion on other sites about Frances, and have found it very educational and helpful and I thank the members of this system for that.

I agree with you Rich. Having worked in the media, I have to wonder if Accuweather's forecast is not based a bit on what will sell more subscriptions/hits/ads. The more danger something is perceived to be in, the more people will go and view it to see if it perhaps has changed or not. I did notice that today, the forecast did seem to be 45 miles higher than before. Still, since day 1, it's been a Florida storm. I'm not saying JB isn't right. He may very well be. What I am concerned with is that if the track models and NHC are all over the map, how can he be so certain? I don't subscribe to his service, so maybe he justifies that position in the subscription area, but to the general public, it appears that he is just making a path up. A path that benefits Accuweather in terms of visitors/watchers then one that reflects the uncertainty of the guidance.

We are weather worn here in Florida and the thought of another hurricane cutting into the coast at Cat 2 is just plain scary. But if it happens, it happens, but I would hope that the tracks shown reflect the best science we have and not just what's beneficial to the packager.