leetdan
(Weather Guru)
Sun Sep 19 2004 11:23 AM
Re: Just don't get Jeanne

Weather Underground has a nice model summary, showing a few of the most recent runs of the stronger models. While they do spread all over the place, they are consistent in that they bring Jeanne North and East for the time being, befor the high swings down behind Ivan and kicks it back to the west (you can see this clearly in the NOGAPS and UKMET runs, and to a different extent on the other models). Since there's only two days at this point that the models agree on, that's the only thing the NHC is forecasting with any confidence (which explains the 'blob of uncertainty' for the 4-5 day positions).


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