Shear -- 30kt -- as well as a bunch of dry air to the north of the storm. The trough to the west is eventually going to push east, at least to some degree, which won't aid any development. Plus, there's just not much there...there's a small low-level circulation and a small amount of upper energy, but that's it. SSTs in the Gulf haven't recovered from the first go-around either...though are at least still marginal.

Bottom line...I still think whatever this is, Ivan or not, doesn't have a great shot.

The Mediterranean storm is probably a hybrid system, maybe a subtropical depression/storm, but nothing very strong. Might try to see if I can get a phase analysis done on it tomorrow.