All of these NWS offices are waiting on the NHC to do their thing thats why some of the AFD's are so late. The NHC is waiting on recon which was late getting out so expect some special discusions later. Recon was just about to the center a short time ago so it's just a matter of time and I would be very surprised if it is not upgraded to a least a depression. So far FL winds have been between 30 and 40 knots and I'm sure there are some higher gusts in the heavier convection north of the center so upgrade to TS is not out of the question., you know how antsy the NHC gets with a system that is close to land.