Sorry if this has been already posted, don't have the time to read all the posts. Anyway I noticed that the models were making the Azores ridge up to Omega blocking strength a couple days ago and that's what it's doing, the GFS nailed it. This is some nightmarish forecast first of all with Jeanne, everything is going to come to a near halt because of this blocking upstream. Model guidance is suggesting that the storm will move westward how much is a variable, after it's done with it's loop, then it will start to recurve (another variable angle of recurving) and the motion of the storm yet another variable. Now you might be saying "well Keith we always have many variables with hurricanes", yes your totally right but to some extent. The placement of these upper level features is a real pain in the neck when you have upstream blocking.

The remnants of "Ivan" are back from the dead. This storm will form some type of a hybird system with convection reserved to the north portion of the storm. The ULL in that area of Ivan will be moving in "retro" as I like to say and will prob collaspe the steering currents once in nears the Texas coast, sort of a Ginger. No matter how strong this system might be, the collaspe of the steering currents will insure a lot of rain and flooding along the landfall area. The Texas Coast should put up a bear watch as Frank P. says.