And it's not a particularly good thing...

00z GFS is out.

It calls for landfall near Palm Beach in 3 days' time (00z Sunday, 8p Sat. ET) with a slow traversing of the east coast of Florida up to St. Augustine, where it barely scrapes back into water before moving up to Charleston, SC, where it -- get this -- scrapes the coast all thr way through the Outer Banks before exiting off of the coast and heading up towards the tip of Massachusetts. In three days, it is expected to traverse essentially the entire SE US coast. Thankfully, the heaviest rain and wind would remain offshore in this scenario the entire way, but it's still not a pleasant scenario to think about.

Looking at the progs, the GFS believes the system in the midwest will begin to lift as it approaches the Great Lakes but have enough of an influence on Jeanne to slow it, turn it northward along the coast, and just barely pick it up, mainly as a function of not entirely building the ridge back in behind it very well. It's a believeable scenario, but one we'll have to wait to see if it pans out.