Quote:
The threat to Florida from Jeanne has increased tonight as the models are starting to shift further west and not show a northerly turn. Unfortunately, this means the Florida East coast from West Palm up to Jacksonville (and maybe further southward) needs to be watching Jeanne a lot closer. The rest of the southeast coast north of Florida also still needs to watch, as Jeanne has been performing poorly with the models.
Even though this discussion from Pg 1 is as of 11pm, it is even more true at 5am. The latest Official forecast now has Jeaneed inland about Cocooa going up the coast inland and out again near Jax. Intensity is somewhat unclear but should be somewhere around 95 which is definitely Cat-II and conditions do not exclude the possibility of Cat-III at landfallk. Because a large portion of the storm is forecast to remain over water, intensity should not reduce much on its' trip over land. If there is a consolation, this forecast does at least imply much of the affecter area will be on the 'weaker', West side of the track, except for the coast of course which will experience the eye wall or part of it. This is one forecast I hope changes back to the East quickly....we're running out of time to avoid another Hurricane in already hard hit coastal East Central Florida.
|
Re: Ivan Is Reborn