Hi, another first-time poster here, from Ft. Myers. I have been lurking since Frances, but I really wish I had known about this site before Charley. I will never forget watching TWC radar the morning of August 13th, and realizing about 9:30 that Charley was moving east even though Greg Nies on TWC was still saying north. Needless to say, I have lost a lot of my faith in TWC since then.

I have a question about the models. I was looking at the NOGAPS today (and wincing as it showed Jeanne crossing over Ft. Myers) and I followed some of the links to the model comparisons. The model called COAMPS takes Jeanne due west, into the straits of Florida. I haven't seen anybody else mention this. Is there a reason this model is discounted? I'm sorry if this is common knowledge...I'm (obviously) a newbie to all this.

Thanks for your help. This is a great site and I'm very glad I found it.