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I think the NHC puts too much emphasis on the models without looking at the big picture. If and when Jeanne turns west she'll definitely miss s.fl and maybe the whole state. Maybe I'm wrong but I think once the models see the big pic then the track will start shifting north. By the way the big picture is looking at the water vapor loop and seeing the influence of the trough and where the High is situated. Well that's my input. I think, more like a landfall around Georgia. |