Heres what they did, the discussion was pretty much what I said in the cooler water. He wants to wait till recon gets in there and I agree. Recon will show the correct pressure but at times they dont find the exact strongest wind. Anyways I dont think the turn will be that great from W to NNW in 6 hours. I think it will go w then wnw-nw for about 6-12 hours around landfall to alittle inland then NW-NNW . They have it going straight almost from just N of west to NNW. Remember we all have to learn the enviroment around the area. With Charley, we forgot what Bonnie did going more ene instead of ne and making landfall further east. So charley should move NE sooner right? Well we all saw that he did. Right now we see Ivan making a landfall near TX,LA coast. Been going wnw. Well that enviroment will push east over florida in 2 days so by the time Jeanne nears the coast it should bend but not go NNW imediatley. Do we learn from whats going on? Well models of course dont. But we do. Anyways that is why I dont have such a strong hook up to the NNW after 79-80W but more of a bend to 81W before a it gets to a NNW direction. I could be wrong of course, but thats how I see it.
Also just to note, Avila adjust the track just a tad to the right due to the GFDL model and GFS. We will see the new GFS model runs with the global models during the next hour or 2. Then we will see if its adjusted w again by morning or stay the same.