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Do we learn from whats going on? Well models of course dont. But we do.
Well said Scott. Anyway, another weekend, another hurricane threat. I've almost, notice I did say "almost", gotten used to it. One thing I did notice was the ridge pushing down from the north, and basically closing the "channel" that I was watching all day. It was the path that the convection surrounding Jeanne had been taking as it headed off to the NW. It looks almost like the ridge has built in further south in front of her right now. Obviously the ridge is expected to continue moving eastward and relax a bit, but I can't help but remember all the difficulties the models have had when trying to forecast the influence of these ridges on these systems this season. Personally, I'm not exactly ready to jump on the idea of Jeanne heading straight up the coast of Florida, but that's just my $.02
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