The models seem to be split...with NOGAPS and UKMET being the more consistent in bringing it across the state, and the others on the state, offshore, onshore, etc.

The CMC 00z run is not one I'm impressed with...it's not picking up the more westerly movement that we've seen for almost 5 hours now.
I would think that they would have to almost split the forecast right down the middle since they're not all in agreement. And I think that has a lot to do with the High/Ridge/whatchamacallit.

Okay, now I'm REALLY going to bed.