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Thank you, Richard. It's tempting to rely on the models too much, when there are so many uncertainties. There is a certain relief at being able to point to a line on a map and say, "There. It's going there." But in reality that line is just a guidance, and not gospel truth, and it's easy to forget that.
Then you have learned something that is both significant and often overlooked and unlearned by your peers, and sometimes by myself and worse, sometimes by the experts themselves. Good luck...
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