MikeCAdministrator
(Admin)
Sat Sep 25 2004 12:54 PM
Re: Jeanne Strengthening

Repasting this from this mornings Melbourne local statement.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
WE ARE CONCERNED AFTER WATCHING SOME NEWS ACCOUNTS REGARDING
RESIDENTS OF BARRIER ISLANDS WHO ARE PLANNING TO RIDE OUT HURRICANE
JEANNE BASED ON THEIR EXPERIENCES WITH HURRICANE FRANCES. WE HAVE
DONE A DETAILED DAMAGE SURVEY OF THE COASTLINE OF THE IMPACT OF
HURRICANE FRANCES...AND IT IS IMPORTANT FOR RESIDENTS TO REALIZE
THAT THE WORST WIND AND STORM SURGE FROM FRANCES AFFECTED AN
UNPOPULATED AREA OF HUTCHINSON ISLAND BETWEEN FORT PIERCE BEACH AND
JENSEN BEACH AND NETTLES ISLAND. THE GREATEST IMPACT WAS FROM
NEAR MIDDLE COVE BEACH ACCESS TO HERMAN'S BAY PARK. EVIDENCE OF
BATTERING WAVES ON TOP OF STORM SURGE TO A HEIGHT OF 12 FEET OR
GREATER...ALONG WITH EXTREME BEACH EROSION AND A BRIDGE FAILURE...
WERE NOTED. IMPORTANTLY...PEOPLE LOCATED ON THE NORTH AND SOUTH END
OF HUTCHINSON ISLAND DID NOT RECEIVE THE WORST OF THE IMPACTS OF
FRANCES.

WE ALSO NOTED THAT VOLUSIA AND NORTHERN BREVARD COUNTY EXPERIENCED
ONLY CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE EFFECTS FROM FRANCES. SOUTHERN BREVARD
AND INDIAN RIVER COUNTIES EXPERIENCED CATEGORY ONE TO CATEGORY TWO
IMPACTS WITH MARTIN AND ST LUCIE COUNTIES SOLIDLY WITHIN THE CATEGORY
TWO IMPACT RANGE. TO BASE YOUR EVACUATION DECISION SOLELY ON YOUR
PERSONAL EXPERIENCES DURING FRANCES IS A MISTAKE.

JEANNE WILL LIKELY BE STRONGER...ESPECIALLY NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF
WHERE THE INNER EYEWALL MAKES LANDFALL. AT THIS POINT IT IS STILL
UNCERTAIN EXACTLY WHERE THIS AREA WILL BE. THERE IS PLENTY OF TIME
THIS MORNING TO COMMIT TO EVACUATING AS ADVISED AND MOVE TO SAFETY.
WE HAVE MADE IT THROUGH CHARLEY AND FRANCES WITHOUT ANY DIRECT DEATHS
FROM HURRICANE WIND OR WATER IMPACTS...PLEASE FOLLOW ADVICE OF YOUR
COUNTY OFFICIALS AND LETS ALL MAKE IT THROUGH THIS AGAIN.

I have a feeling some folks are going to be a little caught off guard by this one base on prior experiences.



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