Kevin
(Weather Master)
Sat Sep 25 2004 12:35 PM
Re: ERC

Another weather update (I'm northeast of Orlando btw, but not by much):

Barometric pressure has fallen a couple of millibars (998 now vs. 1000 earlier). The cloudiness is more pronounced than it was earlier this morning. The winds are also gusting up to around 15 mph, and these gusts are becoming more numerous. I can already tell that Jeanne is obviously going to have strong winds that will penetrate well inland. More updates to come.

I agree that an ERC is occuring right now...almost looks as if the eyewall is jogging northwest. I believe that is a part of the replacement cycle. A category 4, although still not likely imo, is still possible at this point. That intensity would depend on what Jeanne makes of her last 9-12 hours over water.

If this is to be the finale for Florida hurricanes this season, it sure looks to be grand.



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