The SW Carribbean is starting to wake up, that area of low pressure over Central to South America is also acting up. Mainly because the water temps are decreasing in the Eastern Pacific ocean causing a ridge to build over the eastern pacific and a trough to build over central america. Almost like a mini-ITCZ, in terms of the convergence. Anyway, the water temps are mighty warm, the ULL is backing SW, the ridge is going to build back after Jeanne leaves the picture and create an area of excellent outflow. This could be a very strong storm, we'll have to see but the area is notorious for these things!