danielwAdministrator
(Moderator)
Thu Oct 07 2004 06:13 AM
Re: Invest 95L up for BOC wave

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT THU 07 OCT 2004
...DISCUSSION... edited to conserve space.
GULF OF MEXICO...
A 1010 MB LOW REMAINS OFF THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR 21N96W ALONG A STATIONARY SURFACE TROUGH WHICH IS ALSO OFF THE MEXICAN COAST FOR THE PAST 2 DAYS.
SATELLITE IMAGERY HAS SUGGESTED THAT A LOW/MID LEVEL CIRCULATION BECOME BETTER DEFINED YESTERDAY AND WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE OVER MUCH OF THE NW GULF.
SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE FROM 24N93W TO THE COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE NEAR 19N91W.

FARTHER N...A WEAK STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA TO COASTAL LOUISIANA AS STRONG A HIGH BUILDS IN FROM THE N OVER THE E COAST OF THE UNITED STATES.
A BROAD UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS CENTERED OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA NEAR N GUATEMALA/BELIZE WITH A RIDGE THAT EXTENDS N OVER THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO CANADA. THIS IS BRINGING ABUNDANT MOISTURE FROM THE W GULF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS E ACROSS THE E GULF OVER FLORIDA INTO THE W ATLC INCLUDING THE N BAHAMAS.
THIS SCENARIO WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS THE SURFACE LOW MOVES N AND INTERACTS WITH THE STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY.



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