Ok lets wake up on this gulf system...yesterday Scott and I disagreed that the broad llc remained off shore...he argued I was focusing on the midlevel...I still disagree...the visible is what I used yesterday, and today again...the WV shows a midlevel disconncted from the circulation visible on the west side...mostly exposed...it is my opinion then that a low is over water in poor ogrganization...it is not stacked up; may never be stacked up, but then neither was the reformed Ivan which was open on the south and west...All the weather on this is north and east...the winds are higher than expected due to gradient features...it will never(oops should not say that) be hurricane, but should it be classified as tropical?
I think much of the delay is political...think of the implications of a 6th land falling tropical storm in Florida...
Any way I've seen less than this be classified, and it does bear watching for development, and is closer than we think...if as I think a 1007 low is out there it should be.