Sun Oct 10 2004 08:21 AM
He's Not Done Yet !

Early morning recon has finished their first leg of Matthew.
0538Z Vortex came in with a minimum pressure of 1001mb.
And max flight level winds of 49kts in the NE quadrant.

0545Z Satellite estimates have dropped Matthew to a T1.0/2.0 status.

0745Z satellite imagery showing an area of Thunderstorms from Alexandria to Baton Rouge La. Three other clusters of thunderstorms are visible from the Mouth of the Mississippi River southeastward toward 25N/ 85W.

0804 New Orleans radar indicating the circulation center just south of South Marsh Island and Vermillion Bay.
New Orleans wind profiler data:
1000ft-SE at 25kts
2000ft-SE at 40kts.
40,000ft SW at 63kts-shear!

0800Z Buoy observations:
Buras, LA C-MAN Station reporting wind of 120deg at 35kt gusting to 39kts, with a peak gust of 42kts. Pressure 1005.1mb

Late Update: The 5 AM advisory has the 1800Z (1PM CDT-Sunday) position forecast is located between Garyville,LA and the southern most point of Lake Marepas.

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