Keith234
(Storm Chaser)
Sun Oct 10 2004 03:19 PM
Re: Subtropical Storm Nicole Develops Near Bermuda

If you look at the bermuda radar, your can clearly see the rainbands pretty heavy rain considering not much convection is going on. It should start to make a trasition to tropical, then as the water become increasing cooler it will become extratropical gale. A recent quickstat pass indicated the strongest winds were confined to the east of the center at roughly 48 mph. She seems very organized and the upper-level trough that is supporting her is deepening, maybe we can squeeze another sub-tropical storm out of this. The NAO is going positive should bring about some ridging in the eastern atlantic causing the strong cold front (the one entering the Washington area) to asborb the 'remnants of Matt'. This depression in the height field, is indicated to become quite strong by some of the well know models after interacting with the trough supporting Nicole. The season is still rambling on, when will this end.


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