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Things seemed to have quieted down as the Atlantic has shut off for anything to develop east of 50/60, and the GOM has a deep trough progged to come in Thursday, with a frontal boundary Clearing the FL peninsula Friday! I still think that a major cane will come out of the SW Caribbean before all is said and done for 2004, probably the last week of October. This just based on the pattern and the models hinting at lowering pressure in that area as heights build in the western Atlantic and eastern seaboard during that time frame. Hopefully I'm wrong, and if anything develops it will encounter shear if it tries to come too far north, but there are still some virgin waters down there and conditions at the UL should be favorable for the end of the month as far as I can tell. After that winter should begin to set in across the CONUS. Still waiting for the insurance adjuster to come out. BTW, if you haven't registered for FEMA and had damage or needed to evacuate please register. There is assistance available. I got re-imbursed evacuating during Jeanne. Just save your receipts. Cheers!! |