Keith234
(Storm Chaser)
Mon Oct 18 2004 06:56 PM
Re: October activity

I'm not seeing anything, developing for now at least...most of the energy seem's to be confined to the jet stream as angular momentum. I feel the system before the leeward islands has a chance for developing but again there's not just not enough latent heat materilizing. The GOM is pretty much closed off for development as strong level winds have surfaced.
On a different note, the overall amplitude in the Rosby waves is apparently decreasing, leading up to some strong trough come in the picture about 10 days from now; that's my rule at least...with the teleconnection pattern and the high latitude blocking, look for something to pop up off the Florida coast. Could there be a Halloween storm?



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