(Storm Chaser)
Fri Oct 29 2004 09:39 PM
Re: October Nearing a Close

The initial disturbance part of the wave is now reentering the Atlantic with convection breaking out all over. The models are showing an increase in pressures over the eastern pacific which will generate a persistent trof over South America and get some convergence going and may very well produce a storm. The current disturbance is showing some good inflow as well as some outflow but not organized. The front that passed over really made everything “cloudy” as to what was what but it appears to be centered in the mid-to-upper level atmosphere. If this disturbance(s) persist overnight we may very well see a invest, but who knows; the NHC has been very hard to predict lately. I would be of slightest bit concerned that this could possibly be affecting us later, if some vortmax comes over the ridge placed in the west and collaborates with it.

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