with SOI so strongly negative recently and the pattern amplified in the east things are primed for something to try to develop. it may or may not be tropical, but some sort of system should originate either in the sw/central caribbean or in the southwestern atlantic near the islands. may just be a sheared hybrid, but possibly a legit subtropical or tropical cyclone.
it's going into the second week of november and we still haven't had a hard freeze down here.. getting a little late. decent shot coming down in the next 48hrs should finally give us that killing frost.
offtopic: pray for our troops in fallujah. a lot of people are going to die there this week.
HF 0416z08november