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Things have been pretty quiet for awhile - and most of us are grateful for that after such a hectic summer. An old frontal boundary is interacting with an upper level low and firing convection near 15N 65W. A small chance that a tropical or subtropical cyclone could develop in the northeast Caribbean Sea in the next day or two. Shear is on the increase though, so the odds are slim for any organized development. Even without development, heavy rainfall is likely in the northeast islands. The rest of the basin is quiet. ED Storm Link Caribbean Weather Reports Special Link Mount st. Helens Volcanocam animation General Links Skeetobite's storm track maps NRL Monterey Marine Meteorology Division Forecast Track of Active Systems (Good Forecast Track Graphic and Satellite Photos) Check the Storm Forum from time to time for comments on any new developing system. Follow worldwide SST evolution here: Global SST Animation NASA GHCC Interactive Satellite images at: North Atlantic Visible (Daytime Only), Infrared, Water Vapor LSU Sat images RAMSDIS Satellite Images (high speed) Some forecast models: NGM, AVN, MRF, ETA ECMWF AVN, CMC,GFDL, JMA,NOGAPS,UKMET DoD Weather Models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF) Multi-model plots from Mid-Atlantic Weather Other commentary at Independentwx.com, Robert Lightbown/Crown Weather Tropical Update Accuweather's Joe Bastardi (now subcriber only unfortunately), Hurricane Alley North Atlantic Page, Hurricanetrack.com (Mark Sudduth), HurricaneVille, Cyclomax (Rich B.), Hurricane City , mpittweather , WXRisk, Gary Gray's Millennium Weather, storm2k, Barometer Bob's Hurricane Hollow, Snonut, Even more on the links page. |