danielwAdministrator
(Moderator)
Thu Apr 14 2005 08:45 PM
Re:Subtropical low off S.C.?

The following are forecasts from earlier today. At this time they are from 7.5 to 13.5 hours old. The new models aren't in yet.
4 of the 5 models take the Low off of The Carolinas into the Atlantic over the next 3 days.(12Z-Sunday)
None of the above forecast models are indicating the Low will deepen beyound 1000mbs. I believe it was lower than 1000mbs last weekend when crossing the Western Plains.
I will try to post the model update when it becomes available later tonight.
The Weather Channel is giving updates on the Low at the present time.
CMCGLB: 2005041412Z FCST-Shallow, symetrical warm core
GFS: 2005041418Z Fcst- Shallow, symetrical warm core
MM5-AF: 2005041418Z Fcst-Shallow, symetrical warm core
NGP: 2005041412Z Fcst-Deep, symetrical Cold core
UKMET: 2005041412Z Fcst-Shallow, symetrical warm core


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