Ryan, no one can accurately predict where the worst tropical weather will happen with any certainty this year. I think that we on the East coast, those on the Gulf coast and Caribbean are all in the same boat. We all have the same chance. You mentioned the Carolinas, I`m on business right now up in Charleston and they still talk about" Hugo" to this day and down where I live in Brevard County Florida we are still realing from last years devasation. I think that everybody in the three areas that I mentioned should be prepared just in case there " luck" runs out..Weatherchef