B.C.Francis
(Storm Tracker)
Sat May 14 2005 09:47 AM
El Nino may calm storms ?

I was reading an article in Florida Todays newspaper that we that we enjoy in Melbourne about what was talked about at the Governor`s Hurricane Conference in Florida. David Zierden a reasearcher at the Florida Climate Center in Tallahassee says that " There`s been another kind of pulse of warming going on near the coast of South America and it looks like something might be happeng. Its too early to say weather this will turn into a full-blown El Nino. We`ll know in a month or two. If El Nino were to delvelope, it certainly would be good news as far as hurricanes are concerned, but its to early to tell. Also Dr. Gray being there said " That the Atantic looks to be in a warming pattern similiar to one detected in the 1940`s and 1950`s.Its likely we`re going to get another 15 or 20 years of the Alantic getting warmer and that this is a natural cycle " Gray still expects more hurricanes than a average year, but not as many landfalls.......What do you guys think? Is there a chance that this David guy is on to something which could mean fewer hurricanes in the Atlantic this season and prompt Dr. Gray to lower his seasonal hurricane prediction fo 2005 ?..........After reading the article I was just wondering. Any comments?..........Weatherchef


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