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it looks like 91L is starting to become a bit better organized, looking at the satellite loops this morning. NRL shows 30 mph and 1007 mb (earlier it was 1008 and before that they had 20-25 mph winds and didnt bother putting up the pressure). I have also noticed a disorganized but definate circulation just northwest of the convection, and there seems to be a bit of upper-air ridging just to the west of the convection. It seems with the organization pattern and upper-air flow that we could see a lopsided but tropical system come out of this like Gabrielle in 2001; and this system looks similar to Gabrielle about a day before classification. |