Cycloneye11
(Weather Hobbyist)
Sun May 15 2005 03:13 PM
Re: 91L invest models




TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST (AL912005) ON 20050515 1800 UTC



...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...

050515 1800 050516 0600 050516 1800 050517 0600



LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON

BAMD 14.1N 78.1W 14.8N 76.7W 15.8N 75.7W 17.0N 75.1W

BAMM 14.1N 78.1W 14.5N 77.2W 14.9N 76.4W 15.3N 76.2W

A98E 14.1N 78.1W 14.5N 77.6W 15.2N 77.5W 15.7N 77.3W

LBAR 14.1N 78.1W 14.8N 76.7W 16.2N 75.2W 18.1N 73.4W

SHIP 25KTS 28KTS 32KTS 34KTS

DSHP 25KTS 28KTS 32KTS 34KTS



...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...

050517 1800 050518 1800 050519 1800 050520 1800



LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON

BAMD 18.7N 74.2W 22.7N 65.8W 26.6N 52.4W 29.0N 43.8W

BAMM 16.3N 76.0W 17.7N 74.0W 18.1N 70.1W 18.1N 65.9W

A98E 16.0N 76.8W 17.2N 75.0W 18.2N 72.6W 19.1N 70.3W

LBAR 20.3N 71.2W 24.2N 65.5W 27.5N 59.3W 28.9N 55.3W

SHIP 37KTS 35KTS 25KTS 0KTS

DSHP 37KTS 35KTS 27KTS 0KTS



...INITIAL CONDITIONS...

LATCUR = 14.1N LONCUR = 78.1W DIRCUR = 65DEG SPDCUR = 4KT

LATM12 = 13.7N LONM12 = 78.9W DIRM12 = 63DEG SPDM12 = 4KT

LATM24 = 13.3N LONM24 = 79.6W

WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 75NM WNDM12 = 20KT

CENPRS = 1007MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = M

RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

The above is the 1800 utc run and it is interesting to see from the morning run to this one a diference and that is intensity.But shear is strong there.Neverless it is amazing that we are talking about this in mid may even if nothing occurs.



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